Thursday, October 4, 2007

College Football Picks Week 6

A nice slate of big time games this weekend, the college football season is definitely in full swing. After a 24-6 start, I’ve been 10-10 the last 2 weeks, the games are getting harder or I am getting dumber, I hope its the former.

#4 Ohio State at #23 Purdue-
Ohio State is clearly the cream of the Big Ten crop, it took awhile for the offense to get in tune and find an identity but now they have, running with ball with Beanie Wells and having Boeckman play smart and control the ball. Purdue has a big offense but will sputter against the very good and possibly underrated OSU defense.
Ohio State Wins: 38-20

#25 Nebraska at #17 Missouri-
Missouri has quickly become a team to reckon with in the Big 12, with losses by Oklahoma and Texas this squad could be looking at a Big 12 Championship game. The winner of this game is in the drivers seat for the Big 12 North. Missouri's junior QB, Chase Daniel, has been very good so far this season throwing for more than 1300 yards and 13 TDs. Nebraska was reeling for a few weeks but seems to have gotten back on track last week with a win over Iowa State. Marion Lucky has been the heart of that team running for 565 and 6TDs. In one of the better games of the day Missouri will over come the Cornhusker's running attack and get into the lead position in the Big 12 North.
Missouri Wins: 30-24

#9 Florida at #1 LSU-
LSU is 3-7 in the last 10 meetings against the Gators, but if LSU wins this game they would be 4-2 in the last 6. Florida will be pumped up and ready to play but Tiger Stadium at night is a completely different stadium. LSU will prove that they should be the #1 team in the country, at least until USC beats Cal.
LSU Wins: 33-27

#20 Cincinnati at #21 Rutgers-
Rutgers’s BCS hopes were shattered when they lost to Maryland last week but that doesn’t mean they wont be hungry and ready to play, they still have a chance to win the Big East. Cincinnati has been the surprise of the conference, even more so that USF. This is the 1st conference game for both teams and thusly vitally important to both sides. Cincinnati has a nice Senior QB in Ben Mauk; he’s led the Bearcats to a 5-0 record and into the Polls for two consecutive weeks for the 1st time in over 50 years. Rutgers lost to Cincinnati last year and will be looking for revenge, but Cincy has had the tougher schedule (barely) and is a tougher team.
Cincinnati Wins: 27-20

#15 Virginia Tech at #22 Clemson-
Clemson had a let down loss against Georgia Tech last week, making them 2-1 in their conference and one game behind BC in the Atlantic division. Tech is still undefeated in their division but have only played one game, but a win for the Hokies gives them hope for a conference title shot, but they have not looks convincing in any of their wins, and especially not in their loss. Clemson is going to run the ball and then run it some more, Cullen Harper will throw the ball well and Clemson wins in Memorial Stadium.
Clemson Wins: 28-17

#12 Georgia at Tennessee- The Vols put up 51 in Athens last year and the upstart Bulldogs will have revenge on their minds as they enter Rocky Top. Matthew Stafford and Thomas Brown will rough up the Vols D. Erik Ainge will disappoint for Tennessee again, he is their Anthony Morelli.
Georgia Wins: 28-17

#10 Oklahoma at #19 Texas-
Even if Colt McCoy does play (concussion) the Longhorns are totally fraudulent this year, Oklahoma will be all over Texas on Saturday. Sam Bradford will play like the senior QB he isn’t (he’s only a freshman) and Oklahoma wins big.
Oklahoma Wins: 30-17

Kansas at #24 Kansas St.-
Kansas State rolls into this game on a big high; they beat Texas for the 2nd year in a row and are looking for more. Kansas is nationally relevant for the 1st time in more than 10 years, the last time Kansas won this game was 2004 when they took care of the wildcats 31-28. The last time Kansas State beat Texas convincingly the week after they also beat Kansas, I'm sticking with that trend.
Kansas St Wins-31-28

Miami (FL) at North Carolina-
Easily the most boring game to pick this week. The Hurricanes seemed to have a bit of a let down against Duke last week and will be looking to show they are for real. Butch Davis is coaching up this Tar Heel team pretty well in his first season, losing to Va Tech by only 7 two weeks ago. In the end Miami will use their omnipresent speed and put this one away.
Miami Wins: 28-14

Iowa at Penn State- A very nice comparison of the stats for each team over at BSD, it basically shows that the Nittany Lions lead in all but 4 out of 20 or so. But they lead almost every category by a very small margin; on the other hand Iowa's wins are also by a very small margin. I expect something similar to the 6-4 game 3 years ago but eventually the crowd wills PSU to victory.
PSU Wins: 17-10

I learned my lesson from last week so I am taking the Illinois Illini to bounce the Badgers of Wisconsin out of BCS contention with a great run game and a nice crowd to show up at Champagne. Wisconsin has almost lost nearly ALL their games, this will come to plague them later and later is this Saturday.
Illinois Wins: 27-23

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